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china appears to be stabilizing and the rest of the emerging markets are growing. more demand for export business. number two, corporations are sitting on $1.5 trillion of cash. they have a lot of cash. they just need to know how to spend it based on overall tax policy. and number three, if you look at equipment and plant equipment in america today, the inventory is old and due reinvestment and upgrades. there's a lot of pent up demand for investment spending. >> there have been a few bright spots in our economy anyway. i think of housing, which has been in recovery mode right now. does that continue in 2013 even if we do see this -- some sort of resolution of the fiscal cliff and what it could do to paychecks and jobs in the economy? >> the offset is that people look at the value of their houses and start feeling better. one-third of household wealth is the value of their house and if they start seeing prices stabilize and appreciating, that could offset some pullback in overall consumer spending. >> where will we make money then, do you think? >> my sense is emer
china appears to be stabilizing and the rest of the emerging markets are growing. more demand for export business. number two, corporations are sitting on $1.5 trillion of cash. they have a lot of cash. they just need to know how to spend it based on overall tax policy. and number three, if you look at equipment and plant equipment in america today, the inventory is old and due reinvestment and upgrades. there's a lot of pent up demand for investment spending. >> there have been a few...
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Dec 31, 2012
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then china cooperating as well. >> i think lots of plus there is. we would agree that certainly housing is moving upward as mohammad mentioned this morning. energy costs in terms of natural gas are down. china is reinstituting fiscal stimulation and japan is on the move in terms of easier money. all that is a positive, but we have come to expect in the asset markets a 10%-plus type of return for taking equity risk. and really if the real economy only grows at 2% to 3%, it is a case of spending straw into gold and how long that will continue. a 5% return from stocks, 2% to 3% from bonds is something we should expect going forward even with the pluses that you mentioned. >> what about your outlook for gold? your outlook is that gold is going to move higher in 2013, and i would assume that's because you know the fed will be in the house. >> we think gold will move higher as will commodities. it is hard to say exactly how much. gold to my way of thinking is a function of real interest rates to the extend real interest rates continue low and even come lo
then china cooperating as well. >> i think lots of plus there is. we would agree that certainly housing is moving upward as mohammad mentioned this morning. energy costs in terms of natural gas are down. china is reinstituting fiscal stimulation and japan is on the move in terms of easier money. all that is a positive, but we have come to expect in the asset markets a 10%-plus type of return for taking equity risk. and really if the real economy only grows at 2% to 3%, it is a case of...
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Dec 31, 2012
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but strong data out of china on manufacturing. we have a 5% gain year to date in copper. copper higher but logging losses for the year. platinum losing more than 10%. simon, back to you. >> thank you, jackie. behind the headlines we are doing very well at nasdaq. out performance there own likes of apple seema mody, up 3.5%. >> absolutely. apple shares definitely helping nasdaq given the fluidity of the situation in washington, simon, hard to predict where the markets will end on the day. right now seeing session highs of 1.2%. as you mentioned, apple shares providing a nice lift to the nasdaq. recent note from topeka capital, an insatiable appetite in hong kong and china for the ipad mini. some of the bullish commentary notes. facebook shares also up 2.6%. upgrading the stock from sell to buy, writing that facebook has ad spending from large brands. interestingly enough, look the at as in dab 100 just for q4, facebook made that list. other stocks on the list include yahoo! virgin media and green mountain coffee. sue, back over to you. >> thank you, seema. >>> we are waiti
but strong data out of china on manufacturing. we have a 5% gain year to date in copper. copper higher but logging losses for the year. platinum losing more than 10%. simon, back to you. >> thank you, jackie. behind the headlines we are doing very well at nasdaq. out performance there own likes of apple seema mody, up 3.5%. >> absolutely. apple shares definitely helping nasdaq given the fluidity of the situation in washington, simon, hard to predict where the markets will end on the...
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Dec 31, 2012
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china ends the year under the sign of growth. manufacturing activity hits its fastest pace in 18 months. but it's been a lackluster pace for markets which hosts a modest return for the year. germany, hong kong manage to outperform. so just where should investors put their money in the new year? we've been asking analysts and economist toes give us their top calls for 2013. >> do you think the u.s. is going to continue to be strong if they can solve the fiscal cliff issues, keep economic indicators up, what they're doing with the job is good, performance is good. asia will take a while, to the end of 2013. we'll see good entrepreneurial activity. that's going to depend on good performance in stocks. >> it will appreciate even with weaker economy or, you know, stagnated economy because there's not much growth to be accepted from all europe, you know, obviously call europe like germany will grow with the global economy here. but at the moment, because of the issues in japan and all the issues in the u.s., euro and particularly euro
china ends the year under the sign of growth. manufacturing activity hits its fastest pace in 18 months. but it's been a lackluster pace for markets which hosts a modest return for the year. germany, hong kong manage to outperform. so just where should investors put their money in the new year? we've been asking analysts and economist toes give us their top calls for 2013. >> do you think the u.s. is going to continue to be strong if they can solve the fiscal cliff issues, keep economic...
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Dec 31, 2012
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china pmi rising to 51.5. and that is a result of manufacturing in china in a year and a half. the shanghai index ended the day about 1.6% higher, highest close since june 20th. it has been a nice run that we've seen also in china to our point before. it's been up 16% since its four-year low in december. >> for the year the index is up 3% right now. for those who missed it, this will be the first annual gain in, i believe, three years' time. this has not been a positive stock market, despite the economy growing 7%, 8%, 9% or so. as the chinese president said this morning, there will be policies put in place to support growth. and whatever nervousness in the transition is going to fade and policymakers can get more involved. >> we've seen this play out in the metal stakes. the best fourth quarter in two years, up 56%. iron ore prices. that's a real lead on demand. and especially as the chinese government makes all these nods toward urbanization plans and the need to update and invest in infrastructure. these are the areas where you want to be. >> yeah. also ties into what clearl
china pmi rising to 51.5. and that is a result of manufacturing in china in a year and a half. the shanghai index ended the day about 1.6% higher, highest close since june 20th. it has been a nice run that we've seen also in china to our point before. it's been up 16% since its four-year low in december. >> for the year the index is up 3% right now. for those who missed it, this will be the first annual gain in, i believe, three years' time. this has not been a positive stock market,...
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Dec 31, 2012
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fascinating to see china hit a few weeks post leadership changes, first time this year the markets had more than 10% rally there. and the signs of europe's issues being if not resolved, certainly more minimized in terms of stress. so i think we're going tothz a lot clearer signs of powerful rallies coming from the rest of the world in 2013 which will make it somewhat different than 2012 and to some extent the previous two years, as well. >> joe is down in washington wauchg all of this first hand and i know he has a question for you, as well, jim. >> feeling all the different things coming in. >> that must be a real challenge for you being down in d.c. how did you get that straw? >> yeah, it is. i can take it for about 24 hours. i am feeling a lot of what's happening. and in the last 2 1/2 years or so, the poisoned atmosphere down here just to try and do anything is becoming really apparent. we put the sequester because it was so hard to try and do anything last time to force us, now we're not really inclined to do it again. my question, even if we do get a deal, a lot of the extra tax
fascinating to see china hit a few weeks post leadership changes, first time this year the markets had more than 10% rally there. and the signs of europe's issues being if not resolved, certainly more minimized in terms of stress. so i think we're going tothz a lot clearer signs of powerful rallies coming from the rest of the world in 2013 which will make it somewhat different than 2012 and to some extent the previous two years, as well. >> joe is down in washington wauchg all of this...